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China Airborne
More than two-thirds of the new airports under construction today are being built in China. Chinese airlines expect to triple their fleet size over the next decade and will account for the fastest-growing market for Boeing and Airbus. But the Chinese are determined to be more than customers. In 2011, China announced its Twelfth Five-Year Plan, which included the commitment to spend a quarter of a trillion dollars to jump-start its aerospace industry. Its goal is to produce the Boeings and Airbuses of the future. Toward that end, it acquired two American companies: Cirrus Aviation, maker of the world’s most popular small propeller plane, and Teledyne Continental, which produces the engines for Cirrus and other small aircraft. In China Airborne, James Fallows documents, for the first time, the extraordinary scale of this project and explains why it is a crucial test case for China’s hopes for modernization and innovation in other industries. He makes clear how it stands to catalyze the nation’s hyper-growth and hyper- urbanization, revolutionizing China in ways analogous to the building of America’s transcontinental railroad in the nineteenth century. Fallows chronicles life in the city of Xi’an, home to more than 250,000 aerospace engineers and assembly workers, and introduces us to some of the hucksters, visionaries, entrepreneurs, and dreamers who seek to benefit from China’s pursuit of aerospace supremacy. He concludes by examining what this latest demonstration of Chinese ambition means for the United States and the rest of the world—and the right ways to understand it.
Amazon Sales Rank: #7238 in Books Published on: 2012-05-15 Released on: 2012-05-15 Original language: English Number of items: 1 Binding: Hardcover 288 pages
From Booklist *Starred Review* Atlantic correspondent Fallows dives into this most timely subject and, in brisk yet erudite language, takes readers on a tour of China’s burgeoning aviation industry. Along the way, he provides an in-depth look at a place where general aviation is nearly nonexistent, multimillion dollar airports are built before airline traffic is approved, and the military holds ultimate control over all of the airspace. This economic and political narrative includes a great deal of history as well, including that of the American aircraft company Cirrus (now owned by the Chinese government, a subject that Fallows hints is worthy of a book of its own) and a significant look at the shadow Boeing casts worldwide. Fallows’ prescient look at society, culture, and business is based on his conversations with numerous individuals in China who spoke to him about the hard shift required to change gears and embrace open and accessible aviation, and the epic hurdles that stand in the way. Paired with China’s Wings (2012), readers will acquire an unparalleled view of China in the air past, present, and future. Highly readable and significant, Fallows’ book should not be missed by those seeking to understand America’s relationship with this global power. --Colleen Mondor Review “Fallows keeps the reader engaged by weaving personal stories and lively personalities into his depiction of the changing aerospace landscape…his book makes for an intriguing read, looking at both sides of the picture: reasons for why China might succeed, as well as those for why the country might struggle.”—Publishers Weekly “Prescient . . . Highly readable and significant, Fallows’ book should not be missed by those seeking to understand America’s relationship with this global power.” —Booklist, starred review“Precise yet accessible…An enjoyable, important update on an enigmatic economic giant.” –Kirkus “Will China change the 21st century, or be changed by it? China Airborne describes a country ambitiously soaring to fantastic new heights even as its destination remains perilously uncertain. James Fallows reports elegantly on the puzzles and paradoxes of this massive nation and its quest for global prominence.” –Patrick Smith, author of Somebody Else’s Century “James Fallows has found a brilliant metaphor for China, and he is uniquely qualified to unspool the tale. Based on years of firsthand experience on the ground in China—and in cockpits around the world—this book showcases his gifts for deep reporting and analysis. Fallows doesn't simply bear witness; he unravels and dissects. For this vast country to achieve a leading role in the aerospace industry, it must attain standards of innovation, efficiency and precision that would signal a new era in the rise of a superpower. Has it attained that level? There is no better writer to find the answer, and Fallows has done it.” –Evan Osnos, contributor to The New Yorker “In China Airborne, Fallows tells the story of China’s efforts to become a global leader in aviation and aerospace, a story that reveals the economic and political tensions in contemporary China. China’s past economic success has been built on a combination of massive investment and labor force mobilization—what Fallows calls “hard” economic power and autocratic political control. But success in aerospace, like success in other industries that depend on innovation, requires what Fallows calls “soft” economic power—things like trust, honest and transparent regulation, coordination between civil, commercial and military organizations, and a culture of free research and exchange of ideas. Anyone interested China’s future economic, technological and political developments should read Fallows’ fascinating and insightful new book.” –Laura Tyson, Former Director of the National Economic Council and Chair of the Council of Economic Advisors in the Clinton Administration, professor and former dean of the Haas School of Business at UC Berkeley“That is the new book by James Fallows. On the surface it is a book about aviation in China, but it is also one of the best books on China (ever), one of the best books on industrial organization in years, and an excellent treatment of economic growth. It is also readable and fun.” —Tyler Cowen “Not only does the book benefit from Fallows’ keen observations as a journalist in China, but also it is enriched by his technical knowledge as a passionate aviator. The result is informative and lively.” —The Economist “What sets China Airborne apart from other books on China's rise is Fallows' remarkable ability to analyze both China's unprecedented achievements in economic modernization and its inherent limitations…The story so brilliantly told in China Airborne, a metaphor for the much bigger story of China's rise, suggests that no one should take its future as a superpower for granted.” –San Francisco Chronicle “It is worth the reader’s time to obtain it and read it. It is a timely look at a country in a newly dangerous economic and political situation. Understanding that situation is of utmost importance to the rest of the world.” —Asia Sentinel Praise for James Fallows“Fallows is refreshingly aware . . . A shrewd observer of human foibles and political quagmires with the eye for detail of an experienced journalist, he gives us panoramic views of China that are both absorbing and illuminating.”—Jonathan Spence, The New York Times Book Review “Fallows represents the best of American journalism—honest, fearless, and hard-hitting. Moving easily among Chinese, from the ordinary to the high-ranking, he reports from China as an American observer, with the same questions and frustrations that most Americans feel but without either the prejudices of some or the ideological pixilation of others.”—Sidney Rittenberg, Sr., coauthor of The Man Who Stayed Behind “Postcards from Tomorrow Square offers some wonderful snapshots of the contradictions of modern China. As always, Fallows writes from the front lines with insight and flair.” —Rob Gifford, author of China Road “James Fallows’s insatiable curiosity and clear narrative make his China journey a real reward.” —John Sculley, former CEO of Apple Computer About the Author James Fallows is a national correspondent for The Atlantic. He has reported from around the world and has worked in software design at Microsoft, as the editor of U.S. News & World Report, and as a speechwriter for President Jimmy Carter. He is currently a news analyst for NPR’s Weekend All Things Considered and a visiting professor at the University of Sydney.
Most helpful customer reviews 17 of 17 people found the following review helpful. Interesting and Credible - By Loyd E. Eskildson Fallows' 'China Airborne' summarizes China's efforts to become a world-class contender in the commercial aviation field. China's rising demand for increased aviation services is hard to imagine - more than two-thirds of all the new airports currently under construction in the world are in China, and its airlines plan to triple their fleets over the next decade - providing the fastest growing market for Boeing and airbus. Its 2010 commercial airline fleet (2,600 planes) was about half that of the U.S., and is targeted to rise to 4,500 by 2015 - representing half the new aircraft sole worldwide. In 2011 the Chinese government committed to spending $250 billion to jumpstart its own aerospace industry - an amount 5 - 10 times (depending on how one counts) the FAA budget for capital improvements and airport construction during the same period. China's largest carrier, Air China, commands a $19 billion capitalization - greater than United-Continental, American, U.S. Airways, JetBlue, SkyWest, and Hawaiian, combined. Its there largest carrers are valued at #1, #3, and #4 in the world. Beijing's airport has the world's 2nd-largest passenger traffic, behind only Atlanta. The world's three largest cargo airports are Hong Kong, Memphis, and Shanghai, with the two Chinese airports growing at a 20% rate vs. 6% for Memphis.Underlying this push into aviation and much of China's 12th Five-Year Plan is a desire to move up the 'smiley curve.' The curve runs from the beginning to the end of a product's creation and sale. At the beginning comes first the brand, then the idea for the product, then high-level industrial design, followed by detailed engineering design, and the necessary components. The middle consists of manufacture and assembly. Then shipping and distribution, retail sales, and finally service contracts and sales of parts and accessories. Per this logic, both ends of the value chain command higher values added to the product than the middle part of the value chain. Thus, although Americans import huge volumes of manufactured goods from China, most of the money spent on those imports stays in American hands. China wants to change that.Rural Chinese family incomes run about $150 - $200/year, while one worker in the city could earn that much in a month, or even every few weeks. Thus, masses of China's population have been moving to urban areas. From 2005 - 2025, it is estimated that 350 million will move into China's major cities - more than live in the entire U.S. At that time China will have 221 cities with populations exceeding 1 million, vs. (in 2010) 35 in Europe and 9 in the U.S. Transportation to/from those centers will become increasingly important.Fallows points out that China skilled the early land-line communications phase, going directly to mobile phones, and is now skipping the urban sprawl phase America has invested in, going directly to high density urban areas. Not all is well in China's economy, however - about 200 die each day in work accidents, and pollution (cancer) is the leading cause of death. Corruption is an endemic problem, even basic aviation requests such as obtaining authorization to fly. The question is, 'Can it skip the decades of slow development in aviation that the American industry went through as well?'Not surprisingly, China is following its typical approach to invading and building strength in a new sector. It purchased Cirrus Aircraft (Duluth manufacturer of four-seater aircraft) in 2011, got Airbus to set its only assembly plant outside Europe in Tianjin (near Beijing), and concluded a 2011 agreement with G.E. to share engine technology with China's COMAC subsidiary as part of a deal to supply engines for the planned C919. Meanwhile, Boeing has increased reliance on Chinese suppliers as well.Skeptics, however, raise several important red flags. One is that the 'real'
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